# 1 Ground Rules

Friday, July 13, 2012: Ground Rules and Terminology

I’m back, different blog name from four years ago, and probably less moderate, but I blame the Republican’t national leaders for moving me away from a steadier and firmer grip on my own reactions.  So, if you’re interested in my point of view, and can stomach an occasional rant or two, stick with this blog for awhile.  If you are a dyed-in-the-wool Republican (rather than a died-in-the-wool Republican’t), you may wish to start your own blog to counter my arguments and musings.  While replies will be possible, and certainly welcomed, I don’t want to make this a he-said-she-said blog.  Use your own blog if you wish to discourse upon your own views.  Short comments, fine.  As a thank-you in advance for your courtesy, I promise to attempt not to allow this blog to become merely an exercise in polemics. 

“Obamacare” is a term I’m using in a different sense from the way the Republican’ts have used it.  I’m using it positively, both because I support it as a grand beginning of universal health care in this country, and because I believe that, as people become more aware of the ACCURATE descriptions of its provisions (rather than the false descriptions weighing down Republican’t opposition), Obamacare will indeed gain positive connotations for Americans.

I will continue to post periodically, probably more often early  and late in the campaign, and stretching out blog posts in the middle.  Those of you who followed my blog four years ago [triton's Presidential Election Projections] will remember that, as the election gets closer, I will post my own electoral vote projections.  I underestimated Obama’s victory margin in 2008, not figuring that Florida, Indiana, and one or two other states would go Blue.

So let me lay it on the line right now.  Barring some major event (a negative “October Surprise”), I believe Obama will be re-elected by a large margin, not the statistically too-close-to-call margin now being bandied about by early pollsters.  It may even be a larger margin than in 2008; it depends on how many Republican’t state houses are able to push through legislation that disenfranchises mainly Blue voters.

Y’all be well now, y'hear.  /RPW